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Gwynne Dyer: Russian triumph as Saakashvili's gamble fails

Gwynne Dyer: Russian triumph as Saakashvili's gamble fails

Gwynne Dyer is a London-based independent journalist whose articles are published in 45 countries.
 
5:00AM Tuesday August 12, 2008
 
The three-day war in South Ossetia is settled, and the Georgians have lost. There may be some more shooting yet, but it is now clear that Georgia will never regain control of the rebel territories of South Ossetia and Abkhazia.
Also that President Mikhail Saakashvili has handed Russia a major victory, and that Georgia's hopes of joining NATO are gone. Pretty impressive work for one long weekend.
Now Saakashvili is playing on old Cold War stereotypes of the Russian threat in a desperate bid for Western backing: "What Russia is doing in Georgia is open, unhidden aggression and a challenge to the whole world. If the whole world does not stop Russia today, then Russian tanks will be able to reach any other European capital."
Nonsense. It was Georgia that started this war. The chronology tells it all. Skirmishes between Georgian troops and South Ossetian militia were more frequent than usual over the past several months, but on the afternoon of Thursday, August 7, Saakashvili offered the separatist South Ossetian Government "an immediate ceasefire and the immediate beginning of talks," promising that "full autonomy" was on the table.
The three-day war in South Ossetia is settled, and the Georgians have lost. There may be some more shooting yet, but it is now clear that Georgia will never regain control of the rebel territories of South Ossetia and Abkhazia.
Also that President Mikhail Saakashvili has handed Russia a major victory, and that Georgia's hopes of joining NATO are gone. Pretty impressive work for one long weekend.
Now Saakashvili is playing on old Cold War stereotypes of the Russian threat in a desperate bid for Western backing: "What Russia is doing in Georgia is open, unhidden aggression and a challenge to the whole world. If the whole world does not stop Russia today, then Russian tanks will be able to reach any other European capital."
Nonsense. It was Georgia that started this war. The chronology tells it all. Skirmishes between Georgian troops and South Ossetian militia were more frequent than usual over the past several months, but on the afternoon of Thursday, August 7, Saakashvili offered the separatist South Ossetian Government "an immediate ceasefire and the immediate beginning of talks," promising that "full autonomy" was on the table.....
 
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Коментарі

15.09.08, 20:02

ну и что. и по- английски читаем. банальщина какая-то. у нас комментарии интереснее.

    25.09.08, 20:14Відповідь на 1 від фон Терджиман

    ну и что. и по- английски читаем. банальщина какая-то. у нас комментарии интереснее.
    Сказл "а", а "б" сказать забыл. Вот как я могу оценить этот комментарий.

      35.09.08, 20:22Відповідь на 1 від фон Терджиман

      Дополнение:

      1. Рассказы очевидцев (военные преступления в Южной Осетии)
      http://blog.i.ua/user/397717/157910/

      2.Европа признала Саакашвили виновным
      http://blog.i.ua/user/397717/157902/

      3. Преступления Саакашвили собрали в Сети
      http://blog.i.ua/user/397717/157883/